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Category Archives: Economics

The China Economic Risk Matrix: Pinpointing the Dangers in China’s Financial System

25 Friday Sep 2020

Posted by RichardB in Economics, Economy, news

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China, CSIS, Economy

CSIS: The China Economic Risk Matrix, written by the Trustee Chair in Chinese Business and Economics’ non-resident senior associate Daniel Rosen, non-resident adjunct fellow Logan Wright, and Associate Director of the China Projects team at Rhodium Group, Lauren Gloudeman. Despite rising inefficiency, China’s financial system has served as the shock absorber that has helped China’s economy recover from the virus outbreak and maintain growth. But the same elements that have driven China’s recovery have also pushed China’s financial system deep into a gauntlet of systemic financial risks. The China Economic Risk Matrix is the combination of indicators of financial vulnerability that threaten to overwhelm Beijing’s policy tools to manage them, along with a novel, China-specific financial stress indicator. Building on the earlier CSIS volume, Credit and Credibility, this report explores the specific conditions and markets in which changes in government credibility can have a significant impact on systemic stability in China.

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America’s Jobs Recovery |Public Debt

13 Sunday Sep 2020

Posted by RichardB in Economics, Economy, news

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Economy, news

The U.S. unemployment rate shot up faster than in any other developed country during the pandemic. WSJ explains how differences in government aid and labor-market structures can help predict how and where jobs might recover.

The covid-19 pandemic is set to increase public debt to levels last seen after the second world war. But is rising public debt a cause for concern? New economic thinking suggests perhaps not, at least for now.

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U.S.-China Investment: 2020 Report Launch

04 Tuesday Aug 2020

Posted by RichardB in Economics, news

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China, economics

A deteriorating bilateral relationship and growing regulatory scrutiny have changed the trajectory of capital flows between the United States and China over the past three years. The COVID-19 pandemic threatens to further disrupt two-way investment, as weak Chinese consumption and supply chain risks make U.S. companies re-think their China footprint, and Chinese investors face continued headwinds from domestic restrictions on outbound capital flows and U.S. regulators wary of opportunistic foreign buyers. The National Committee held a virtual event with report authors Thilo Hanemann and Daniel Rosen, both of Rhodium Group; Ker Gibbs, president, AmCham Shanghai; Rebecca Fannin, founder/editor, Silicon Dragon Ventures; and National Committee President Stephen Orlins to launch our new Two-Way Street: 2020 Update report and discuss the latest two-way investment data and analysis on May 11, 2020.

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The U.S. Economy: Paul Krugman

31 Friday Jul 2020

Posted by RichardB in Economics, Economy

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Economy, news

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Economy Disrupted: Challenges and Change at Home and Abroad

28 Tuesday Jul 2020

Posted by RichardB in Economics, Economy

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challenge, Economy

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Stockmarket v economy: the impact of covid-19 | The Economist

19 Sunday Jul 2020

Posted by RichardB in Economics, Economy, news

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covid-19, Economy, Stockmarket

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